How Levelise Handles Uncertainty to Maximise Battery Value
One of the key strengths of the Levelise optimisation platform is its ability to deliver strong returns even when conditions are uncertain, particularly when forecasting at household demand. Unlike basic control systems that assume forecasts are always accurate, the Levelise platform recognises that real-world behaviour is unpredictable and builds this uncertainty into every decision it makes.
Being “long” or “short” on household demand can have very different financial consequences. For example, if the system overestimates morning demand and charges the battery too much overnight, it may be full by midday unable to absorb excess solar generation. That’s lost value. On the other hand, if the system underestimates demand and charges too little, the battery may run low during the morning peak, forcing the home to import expensive electricity or miss flexibility opportunities.
The Levelise platform avoids these pitfalls by taking a probabilistic approach to scheduling. Rather than relying on a single forecast, it evaluates a range of possible demand outcomes and plans accordingly. It considers the asymmetry of risk that being “short” at peak times often carries a greater cost than being “long” during low-value periods. As a result, the system may charge slightly more than expected or hold back some reserve not as a precaution, but as a value-driven response to forecast uncertainty.
This intelligence is layered on top of Levelise’s core optimisation engine, which already considers your tariff, generation forecasts, weather, network constraints, and the specific performance characteristics of your battery and inverter all tested in-house. The platform makes continuous, real-time decisions to maximise financial return, while also avoiding unnecessary degradation by limiting shallow cycling and time spent at extreme charge levels.
By factoring in the cost of being wrong, the Levelise platform ensures your battery is never caught in the wrong state at the wrong time. Whether capturing midday solar, discharging into a price peak, or responding to a grid signal, your battery remains ready and more profitable as a result.
It’s one more way Levelise delivers smarter optimisation that translates directly into long-term value for homeowners.
